So, what has happened on Friday night and the weekend? Well, two brilliant games of rugby were played. Exciting running ruby and deserved of semi-finals. Onto the final next week in Hamilton NZ with the Chiefs hosting the Brumbies from Canberra on Saturday evening. Looking forward to that!
In the markets, stocks were flat in a lacklustre session across the board and VIX was off 1.9% as investors took in mixed company earnings and results. Commodities were negative on the CRB Index at -0.85%, notably copper was down 2.5%.
News wise there was nothing of note, apart from the Chinese Industrial Profits. This came in at +6.3% for June, but May was +15.5% so that might put the wind up the Aussie and give some weakness tomorrow morning. However, I do like what the Chinese central bank is doing to stimulate China without bringing in a Bernanke style quantitative easing policy.
DATA HIGHLIGHTS AHEAD (times are in AEST) – 950am JPY Retail Sales. 12am US Pending home sales.
AUDUSD –A higher high and still frothing about, and it is becoming boring to watch. The open could be interesting however I am not taking a trade until I can see a clear direction, and that I cannot see right now.
EURUSD – An inside doji bar, can you get a market with a complete lack of commitment? Sure, here it is. The euro is still in uptrend but Fridays’ bar is a print that shows traders lack of interest or apathy.
GBPUSD – Read the same above. Also remember, if the market cannot decide what it wants to do, how can we be expected to? I have no crystal ball, nor pockets deep enough to push the market so I must wait for the market to tell me what it is doing. Inside doji’s tell me nada. Not doing anything to my orders in this environment.
NZDUSD – Guess what? It’s an inside bar…again…I know I know…I am being repetitive (sic). The little kiwi at least was not a doji. Will acknowledge that at least, still its not an indication of trend yet.
USDCAD – Yup, an inside bar, a high test in MT4, still an inside bar though.
USDJPY – Finally some action! The fact that all the other crosses did a sweet FA day and this did not is a sign of a strengthening ¥. Stopped me out on the euroyen cross. Broke below recent low. I am surprised with the strength in yen. A break below 94 would indicate the uptrend is well and truly over.
GOLD – Is hanging onto the 50ema as if life itself depended on it. For the gold bulls that could well be the case. I would prefer to be looking for shorts, however if it can cycle above the ema I will acquiesce and join in the buying of the yellow metal.
David Long/ Proprietary Trading Manager